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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% -
Log Adjusted 10.5% 89.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.5% 73.5% -

Actual: Longwood Lancers +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Biel * 33 4-8 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 9 4 +6.5
M. Gray * 27 5-14 3-9 3-4 3 1 2 1 4 16 5 +0.7
R. Mabrey * 25 4-7 3-5 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 12 7 +5.7
B. N'Galang * 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 -2 +3.5
K. Steele * 21 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 2 1 1 4 6 -3.5
A. Flagg 23 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 1 5 -2.9
L. Carey 21 5-8 1-1 2-5 6 3 4 0 1 13 17 -2.4
C. Crawford 15 3-4 0-1 0-1 3 0 2 0 1 6 6 -3.9
Y. Bamba 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -1.0
A. Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
I. Bonilla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Billups III * 32 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 3 3 0 4 4 5 -1.1
J. Hutchinson * 31 4-8 0-1 3-5 4 4 3 1 2 11 13 -4.1
J. Payne * 21 3-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 0 3 6 5 -9.7
E. Tucker * 21 5-6 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 4 13 8 +2.9
E. Kelly * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -3.3
E. Richards 33 4-7 0-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 11 8 +3.0
J. Benard 22 4-7 3-5 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 13 11 +2.4
R. Thompson Jr. 21 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 +3.7
I. Kalala 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.0
J. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9

* = starter