Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +6.5 |
| M. Gray * | 27 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | +0.7 |
| R. Mabrey * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5.7 |
| B. N'Galang * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.5 |
| K. Steele * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -3.5 |
| A. Flagg | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2.9 |
| L. Carey | 21 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | -2.4 |
| C. Crawford | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Y. Bamba | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 |
| A. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Bonilla | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Billups III * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1.1 |
| J. Hutchinson * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -4.1 |
| J. Payne * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -9.7 |
| E. Tucker * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +2.9 |
| E. Kelly * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.3 |
| E. Richards | 33 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3.0 |
| J. Benard | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2.4 |
| R. Thompson Jr. | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3.7 |
| I. Kalala | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| J. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
* = starter