🐻⬇️🏀

UNC Asheville Bulldogs 79
@
Longwood Lancers 74
2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% - ✗
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 ✗ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - ✗
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.5% 42.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - ✗

Actual: Longwood Lancers -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor 39 9-19 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 1 1 22 9 -
T. Solomon 38 8-18 2-4 6-11 13 1 1 1 1 24 21 -
DJ Patrick 37 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
J. Wright 35 8-17 3-6 5-5 0 5 4 0 3 24 13 -
D. Thomas 29 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 0 4 8 -
M. Mayfield 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Tolentino 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Powell 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Tucker 34 6-11 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 1 0 15 17 -
J. Hutchinson 32 3-9 1-4 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 8 0 -
A. Billups III 29 8-11 4-7 0-1 2 2 2 1 1 20 15 -
J. Benard 26 1-6 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Nziemi 23 2-6 1-3 6-9 7 3 0 0 4 11 11 -
R. Thompson Jr. 22 3-7 2-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
E. Richards 20 3-6 1-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
E. Kelly 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Payne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter