Lakeland
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1145 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 918 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#531) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.7 (#261) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#510) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.399 (#493) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.308 (#413) | NetEff -5.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.155 (#512) | AdjNet -14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.146 (#512) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.294 (#508) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.370 (#565) | AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.299 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.313 (#525) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 935 (#389) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | L | 52 - 83 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Wis.-Stout | L | 56 - 74 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Dubuque | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Loras | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 68 - 39 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Martin Luther | W | 74 - 57 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Marian (WI) | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Marian (WI) | W | 57 - 43 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Concordia Chicago | L | 66 - 83 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 61 - 88 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Aurora | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 56 - 33 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Rockford | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | MSOE | L | 40 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 69 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Johnson | - | 18 | 25.9 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 10.3 | 6.7 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 42.5 | 28.6 | 61.7 | 1.81 | 51.0 | 46.8 |
| A.T. Bartlett | - | 17 | 25.8 | 10.8 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 10.2 | 6.8 | -72 | -3.4 | -18.5 | 32.2 | 27.7 | 80.0 | -1.75 | 46.7 | 41.1 |
| Lauryn Johnson | - | 14 | 23.2 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 6.1 | -15 | -0.8 | -3.6 | 46.9 | 0 | 58.6 | 1.2 | 49.6 | 46.9 |
| Sadie Grabow | - | 17 | 19.0 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 31.8 | 25.4 | 63.6 | 0.85 | 42.2 | 39.5 |
| Jenna Shea | - | 13 | 15.9 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | -31 | -1.9 | -15.9 | 32.4 | 29.8 | 61.5 | -2.66 | 45.8 | 43.9 |
| Sydney Nimsakont | - | 17 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 2.6 | -19 | -0.9 | -9.4 | 33.3 | 31.7 | 88.0 | -1.02 | 47.4 | 40.8 |
| Meghan MacPhee | - | 18 | 14.0 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 2.6 | -31 | -1.4 | -12.4 | 42.0 | 18.2 | 60.0 | 2.95 | 45.1 | 43.2 |
| Gabbi Glatczak | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jiaryatou Cisse | - | 18 | 16.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 79 | 3.6 | 26.7 | 45.2 | 0 | 37.5 | 1.1 | 45.1 | 45.2 |
| Madeline Sasis | - | 17 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.2 | -33 | -1.6 | -14.0 | 30.2 | 29.2 | 33.3 | -5.19 | 35.8 | 35.7 |
| Madelyn Abler | - | 18 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | -15 | -0.7 | -7.0 | 32.7 | 22.2 | 73.3 | -0.64 | 39.8 | 34.5 |
| Amari Banks | - | 5 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.5 | 80.0 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 0.44 | 46.8 | 40.0 |
| Ariana Vaitkeviciute | - | 16 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | -50 | -2.5 | -45.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 28.6 | -2.67 | 33.2 | 33.3 |
| Lydia Levra | - | 18 | 16.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 30.3 | 29.4 | 80.0 | -2.66 | 41.2 | 37.9 |
| Sonia Pagan | - | 15 | 10.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | -0.7 | -63 | -3.3 | -66.7 | 14.8 | 15.4 | 50.0 | -3.41 | 20.9 | 18.5 |
| Katelyn Hauser | - | 1 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaylyn Caldwell | - | 1 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG