Aurora
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1160 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1155 (#85) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1118 (#77) | - |
| Margin | +17.2 (#47) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | +12.0 (#192) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.915 (#228) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.750 (#296) | AdjO 104.8 | AdjD 95.2 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.748 (#297) | AdjO 101.9 | AdjD 92.7 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.656 (#274) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.813 (#51) | AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.785 (#139) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.793 (#132) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.720 (#242) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1170 (#88) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Blackburn | W | 105 - 48 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Webster | W | 81 - 47 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Knox | W | 89 - 65 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Colorado Col. | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Judson (IL) | W | 95 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 46 - 62 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Rockford | W | 95 - 41 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Beloit | W | 91 - 43 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Edgewood | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MSOE | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 102 - 54 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lakeland | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 94 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Marian (WI) | W | 102 - 40 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 64 - 70 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.