Wis. Lutheran
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1165 (#81) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1233 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1169 (#41) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.1 (#40) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.7 (#165) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.919 (#226) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.879 (#180) | NetEff +15.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.929 (#185) | AdjNet +22.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.931 (#186) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.756 (#202) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 53.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.803 (#58) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 52.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.849 (#106) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.850 (#97) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1217 (#61) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Trine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Aurora | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Milwaukee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-28 | vs | Messiah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | St. Norbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rockford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Illinois Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Aurora | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margie Stevens | - | 18 | 25.4 | 14.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 13.1 | 7.0 | 85 | 4.5 | 29.9 | 41.3 | 28.7 | 73.5 | 2.49 | 49.3 | 46.2 |
| Kenly Frey | - | 18 | 29.5 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 10.9 | 6.6 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 37.6 | 29.8 | 79.1 | 0.79 | 49.9 | 43.9 |
| Abby Cole | - | 18 | 22.7 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 6.7 | 10.2 | 60 | 3.0 | 19.2 | 52.5 | 38.2 | 65.0 | 2.81 | 60.8 | 57.9 |
| Madeline Leffel | - | 13 | 20.9 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 38.2 | 28.3 | 69.2 | -1.08 | 48.2 | 45.0 |
| Jayden Hill | - | 18 | 24.3 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 12.8 | 65 | 3.2 | 22.4 | 49.6 | 0.0 | 56.2 | 0.16 | 51.0 | 49.6 |
| Maddie Ratzow | - | 18 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 11 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 48.9 | 27.3 | 70.2 | -0.39 | 55.8 | 50.5 |
| Lily Oiler | - | 18 | 28.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 75 | 3.8 | 22.6 | 36.4 | 28.6 | 80.0 | 2.31 | 47.5 | 43.2 |
| Eleanor Wendorff | - | 5 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.3 | 22.8 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.17 | 59.1 | 59.1 |
| Madeline Maloney | - | 5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | -9 | -1.8 | -25.2 | 62.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 71.1 | 68.8 |
| Abbie Cropsey | - | 12 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.2 | -24 | -1.7 | -32.6 | 64.7 | 0 | 54.5 | -4.06 | 64.1 | 64.7 |
| Lauren Riesop | - | 12 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 56 | 4.0 | 117.0 | 34.6 | 29.4 | 25.0 | 0.9 | 43.2 | 44.2 |
| Violet Meskan | - | 1 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Alexis Beger | - | 17 | 15.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 52 | 2.7 | 30.8 | 36.1 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 2.76 | 41.4 | 38.9 |
| Raeanne Nevad | - | 5 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | -22 | -4.4 | -73.1 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Taylor Ignatowski | - | 9 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 40 | 3.6 | 76.6 | 29.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.85 | 38.2 | 38.2 |
| Courtney Park | - | 5 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 17 | 2.4 | 28.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.9 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Jillian Scharlau | - | 4 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 12 | 3.0 | 24.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 26.0 | 25.0 |
| Mollie Murphy | - | 5 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -4.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.83 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Gianna Guarascio | - | 5 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | -3 | -0.5 | -7.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Kiera Schroeder | - | 5 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -6 | -1.2 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG