Dubuque
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 733 (#573) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 812 (#522) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 766 (#706) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.7 (#306) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.1 (#570) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.384 (#503) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.071 (#504) | NetEff -19.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.576 (#357) | AdjNet +2.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.577 (#353) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.524 (#357) | AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.237 (#641) | AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.158 (#628) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.156 (#635) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 731 (#530) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Saint Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Cornell College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Wis.-Stout | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Simonetti | - | 18 | 24.0 | 11.7 | 9.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 9.5 | 11.8 | -73 | -3.8 | -22.9 | 40.9 | 0 | 70.0 | 0.3 | 48.8 | 40.9 |
| Felicity Figlinski | - | 11 | 34.3 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 7.6 | -43 | -3.1 | -35.5 | 37.9 | 38.0 | 87.5 | 3.7 | 52.6 | 48.9 |
| Lilly Craig | - | 18 | 31.4 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 5.6 | -154 | -7.3 | -34.7 | 36.9 | 27.7 | 65.2 | -0.45 | 44.7 | 40.9 |
| Grace Brumley | - | 17 | 22.1 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 2.6 | -27 | -1.5 | -10.7 | 29.9 | 31.2 | 65.2 | -0.1 | 40.6 | 36.3 |
| Avery Green | - | 17 | 29.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 7.1 | 4.8 | -135 | -6.8 | -44.6 | 35.0 | 20.4 | 73.5 | -0.7 | 44.1 | 39.2 |
| Taylor Martin | - | 18 | 29.4 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 6.7 | 4.1 | -186 | -8.9 | -53.7 | 35.5 | 25.0 | 69.4 | -3.02 | 43.8 | 39.3 |
| Karsyn Pankonen | - | 16 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | -160 | -8.9 | -57.1 | 35.7 | 27.3 | 69.2 | -4.54 | 44.6 | 41.1 |
| Zoe Njus | - | 15 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | -9 | -0.6 | -6.1 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 88.9 | -1.8 | 58.0 | 52.9 |
| Ella Gabbert | - | 18 | 17.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 0.2 | -99 | -5.2 | -41.0 | 30.8 | 28.9 | 83.3 | -2.59 | 45.8 | 43.3 |
| Claire Nazos | - | 8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.4 | 564.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 1.1 | 46.5 | 25.0 |
| Boden Budrecki | - | 9 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -14 | -1.4 | -15.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.4 | 32.7 | 0.0 |
| Lexi Seabaugh | - | 5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -12 | -2.0 | -37.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Mya Gillespie | - | 6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | -1.0 | 5 | 0.7 | 52.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kristina Tierney | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG