St. Norbert
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1099 (#145) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1113 (#80) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.5 (#82) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#240) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.898 (#246) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.856 (#192) | NetEff +13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.831 (#254) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.829 (#255) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.672 (#259) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 58.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.726 (#101) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 54.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.719 (#197) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.731 (#179) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1093 (#167) | RD 105 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | UChicago | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 48 - 75 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Ripon | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Rockford | W | 81 - 39 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Lakeland | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Carthage | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ | McMurry | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 76 - 50 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 57 - 38 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Rockford | W | 70 - 28 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 93 - 50 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Edgewood | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 53 - 42 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Thiry | - | 16 | 23.8 | 16.1 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 12.2 | 13.1 | 63 | 3.3 | 17.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 86.8 | 1.3 | 56.9 | 50.5 |
| Marnie Kahl | - | 12 | 24.8 | 10.2 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 9.2 | 8.9 | 67 | 4.5 | 25.0 | 50.5 | 33.3 | 44.4 | 0.83 | 53.5 | 53.6 |
| Rose Hahn | - | 16 | 27.1 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 90 | 4.7 | 25.4 | 40.4 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 1.19 | 48.9 | 47.1 |
| Oakley Witteck | - | 14 | 25.8 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 54 | 3.2 | 12.1 | 56.2 | 60.0 | 72.4 | 2.04 | 60.9 | 57.9 |
| Olivia Conway | - | 16 | 27.0 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 36.6 | 26.7 | 66.7 | 0.07 | 45.5 | 44.3 |
| Avery Bierowski | - | 16 | 21.2 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 8.3 | 10 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 44.7 | 11.5 | 65.2 | 1.56 | 49.0 | 46.3 |
| Reese Sellers | - | 15 | 22.7 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 2.8 | -88 | -5.2 | -27.0 | 37.6 | 32.3 | 40.0 | -2.2 | 49.3 | 49.4 |
| Kat Miller | - | 12 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | -17 | -1.2 | -15.1 | 38.5 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -0.26 | 46.8 | 44.2 |
| Addyson Phipps | - | 14 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -21 | -1.4 | -35.7 | 32.1 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.81 | 38.6 | 33.9 |
| Alaina Schwahn | - | 11 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 37 | 2.8 | 193.0 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 87.5 | -0.22 | 58.0 | 45.8 |
| Kalina Winslow | - | 7 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 6 | 0.9 | 8.7 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.08 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Larissa Huffman | - | 6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -8 | -1.1 | -46.3 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.38 | 35.9 | 37.5 |
| Tenley Loos | - | 8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 27 | 3.0 | 141.5 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.75 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Makayla Foley | - | 10 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 36 | 3.3 | 83.6 | 18.8 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 1.16 | 29.5 | 21.9 |
| Makayla Hayes | - | 7 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 44.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Charley Mullen | - | 16 | 8.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.9 | 30.2 | 28.6 |
| Sam Opitz | - | 4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | -2 | -0.5 | -18.5 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.98 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Ella Wiese | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 8.0 | 129.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG