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Carthage

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Carthage
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 980 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1034 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1057 (#164) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +11.8 (#77) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.1 (#276) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.708 (#362) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More → 0.654 (#300) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.3 More → 0.880 (#227) AdjNet +17.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.1 More → 0.883 (#227) AdjNet +17.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.706 (#234) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 58.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 59.6 More → 0.623 (#206) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 59.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.665 (#244) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.664 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1062 (#239) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Concordia Wisconsin W 65 - 46
2025-11-12 @ MSOE L 49 - 57
2025-11-15 vs Edgewood W 88 - 48
2025-11-21 @ Hope L 52 - 80
2025-11-22 vs Franciscan W 70 - 50
2025-11-25 vs Coe W 60 - 51
2025-11-29 vs UW-River Falls L 65 - 76
2025-12-03 @ North Central (IL) L 66 - 70
2025-12-13 vs Wheaton (IL) L 60 - 63
2025-12-16 vs St. Norbert W 66 - 63
2025-12-30 @ Luther W 78 - 52
2026-01-14 @ Elmhurst W 73 - 70
2026-01-17 @ Millikin L 67 - 77
2026-01-21 vs Ill. Wesleyan L 52 - 74
2026-01-24 vs Augustana (IL) W 76 - 60
2026-01-31 @ North Park W 71 - 54
2026-02-04 @ Wheaton (IL) W 63 - 52
2026-02-07 vs Millikin W 72 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Malia Green - 18 34.7 15.2 4.4 2.6 2.2 0.9 2.3 13.2 9.7 7 0.4 2.6 45.8 32.4 58.3 1.98 53.8 52.9
Alyssa Orozco - 18 30.2 13.8 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.4 3.0 11.6 8.1 -6 -0.3 -2.7 44.2 36.5 67.4 0.42 54.6 52.6
Nora Ahram - 18 32.0 9.3 2.8 3.2 1.6 0.2 1.6 7.5 8.1 28 1.5 10.8 37.8 35.7 87.8 3.61 54.9 48.9
Grace Cord - 18 24.9 9.2 5.7 1.6 0.8 0.7 1.9 7.0 9.1 13 0.7 6.2 57.1 0.0 84.6 1.1 60.4 57.1
Delaney Elsmore - 18 16.1 4.8 3.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 1.7 6.4 1.9 -4 -0.2 -3.2 25.2 23.2 63.2 -1.16 34.9 32.2
Whitney Thompson - 18 24.8 4.7 5.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 1.1 4.6 6.9 27 1.4 16.8 37.3 31.9 50.0 -0.35 47.1 46.4
Mallory Winters - 18 11.9 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 4.6 1.6 -38 -2.0 -83.6 39.0 0.0 72.7 0.18 43.6 39.0
Taelor Paulsen - 7 14.8 2.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 1.1 0.3 3.4 2.7 - - - 29.2 20.0 50.0 - 36.2 35.4
Mary Titzer - 2 4.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Brecken Carsello - 10 5.0 2.0 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.0 12 1.2 31.0 50.0 0 100.0 0.0 53.0 50.0
Jessie Pakaski - 15 14.3 1.6 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.3 -31 -1.8 -23.7 35.7 13.3 50.0 1.04 40.3 39.3
Brooke Baechtold - 5 3.1 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 44.4 44.4
Lisa Colin - 9 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.6 13 1.3 150.0 33.3 50.0 50.0 -0.41 50.5 50.0
Ava Darling - 6 3.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sophia Ynclan - 2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Marissa Morgan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54 4.2 35.8 0 0 0 0.82 0 0
Brooke Jordal - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Izzy Ensenberger - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG