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LSU

Also known as: LSU Tigers, LSU
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

67.5
PPG
69.0
Opp
+1.8
Margin
45.4%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
59.7%
FT%
32.8
RPG
13.3
APG
15.5
TO
77.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1530 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1505 (#46) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1027 (#131) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +33.2 (#58) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +14.2 (#93) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.332 (#88) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.5 More → 0.368 (#128) NetEff -4.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.8 More → 0.419 (#74) AdjNet -2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.426 (#74) AdjNet -2.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.571 (#127) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.788 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.760 (#95) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 31 More → 1133 (#101) RD 127 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 77 - 63
2012-11-13 vs McNeese Cowboys W 73 - 48
2012-11-20 vs Northwestern State Demons W 102 - 95
2012-11-24 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 75 - 50
2012-11-29 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 72 - 67
2012-12-11 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 80 - 67
2012-12-14 @ Boise State Broncos L 70 - 89
2012-12-18 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 66 - 60
2012-12-22 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 80 - 84
2012-12-28 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 75 - 58
2013-01-05 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 79 - 63
2013-01-09 @ Auburn Tigers L 63 - 68
2013-01-12 vs Florida Gators L 52 - 74
2013-01-16 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 73 - 82
2013-01-19 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 58 - 67
2013-01-23 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 58 - 54
2013-01-26 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 70 - 75
2013-01-30 vs Missouri Tigers W 73 - 70
2013-02-02 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 69 - 68
2013-02-06 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 57 - 56
2013-02-09 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 57 - 60
2013-02-14 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 64 - 46
2013-02-16 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 80 - 68
2013-02-19 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 72 - 82
2013-02-23 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 97 - 94
2013-02-27 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 65 - 60
2013-03-02 @ Missouri Tigers L 76 - 89
2013-03-06 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 68 - 57
2013-03-09 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 67 - 81
2013-03-14 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 68 - 63
2013-03-15 @ Florida Gators L 58 - 80

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. O'Bryant III J. O'Bryant III F 29 29.1 13.6 8.7 1.7 0.5 0.7 3.2 1.3 20.6 225 8.0 14.5 51.3 0.0 60.0 1.44 376.4 51.3
A. Hickey Jr. A. Hickey Jr. G 29 33.0 11.2 3.5 3.8 2.9 0.2 1.8 1.9 18.0 - - - 40.7 28.1 40.0 0.19 290.0 49.1
C. Carmouche C. Carmouche G 30 26.7 10.7 3.9 3.6 1.9 0.1 1.8 0.6 17.9 1 0.0 0.1 29.4 18.2 50.0 0.22 819.8 35.3
S. Coleman S. Coleman F 31 28.1 10.5 5.9 0.8 1.4 0.9 1.7 1.4 16.5 117 3.7 6.5 50.0 22.2 54.5 0.64 334.8 52.3
A. Stringer A. Stringer G 31 30.6 10.4 1.9 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.7 1.3 12.3 65 2.1 3.1 37.5 45.5 85.7 0.76 349.9 50.0
M. Morgan M. Morgan G 31 18.4 5.3 2.9 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.9 0.7 9.4 20 0.6 1.4 40.9 35.7 66.7 0.34 298.8 52.3
A. Del Piero A. Del Piero C 31 13.6 4.3 3.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 7.4 30 1.0 3.0 61.1 0 14.3 0.42 313.1 61.1
E. Ludwig E. Ludwig F 9 12.4 3.3 2.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6 0.6 5.0 27 3.0 11.0 0.0 0 0 0.2 300.0 0.0
C. Collins C. Collins G 27 9.1 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.5 2.8 -18 -0.7 -2.6 57.1 62.5 85.7 -0.29 202.0 75.0
J. Courtney J. Courtney F 26 8.7 2.1 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 4.0 -10 -0.4 -1.2 0.0 0 50.0 -0.34 708.8 0.0
S. Hammink S. Hammink G 26 10.8 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.5 3.5 71 2.8 7.4 41.7 40.0 100.0 0.41 209.6 50.0
D. Jackson D. Jackson - 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 65 1.8 2.9 0 0 0 1.2 0 0
M. Williams M. Williams - 4 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 47 1.9 3.8 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
J. Badeaux J. Badeaux - 5 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG