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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Margin 92.8% 7.2% -14.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.5% 22.5% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -22 (52-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Wilbekin * 36 3-10 1-3 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 7 5 -
Kenny Boynton * 35 7-13 4-8 2-4 7 2 1 0 1 20 16 -
Patric Young * 30 5-9 0-0 4-8 7 1 0 0 3 14 10 -
Erik Murphy * 24 5-13 2-7 0-0 7 3 1 1 2 12 9 -
Casey Prather * 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Michael Frazier 31 1-5 1-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 5 9 -
Will Yeguete 25 4-6 0-1 2-3 13 0 0 0 2 10 15 -
Dillon Graham 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Del Piero * 33 3-7 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
Andre Stringer * 31 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 6 -1 -
Anthony Hickey * 29 6-12 3-8 0-0 3 4 4 1 0 15 15 -
Charles Carmouche * 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Johnny O'Bryant * 14 1-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Malik Morgan 25 2-8 1-4 1-3 5 0 3 2 0 6 8 -
Shavon Coleman 23 5-13 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 11 5 -
Jalen Courtney 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Corban Collins 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Shane Hammink 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter