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2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hickey Jr. * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 8 18 -
J. O'Bryant III * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 5 22 30 -
A. Stringer * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
S. Coleman * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 11 15 -
M. Morgan * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 10 -
C. Carmouche 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 3 9 -
S. Hammink 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Del Piero 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Courtney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Collins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 12 15 -
T. Lacey * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 2 7 15 -
R. Cooper * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 10 17 -
L. Randolph * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 15 -
M. Gueye * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 4 1 2 9 -
A. Steele 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 4 11 -
N. Jacobs 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 15 22 -
R. Obasohan 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 0 5 -
D. Pollard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter