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2012-12-14

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“

Actual: Boise State Broncos +19 (89-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Stringer * 31 1-10 1-6 2-2 1 4 1 0 3 5 -2 -
Andrew Del Piero * 23 3-3 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 2 1 6 9 -
Johnny O'Bryant * 22 6-8 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 6 15 7 -
Malik Morgan * 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 6 8 -
Charles Carmouche * 20 1-6 0-4 1-2 2 5 3 1 1 3 7 -
Shavon Coleman 30 5-9 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 11 7 -
Shane Hammink 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 2 2 -
Corban Collins 19 6-11 5-8 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 19 8 -
Anthony Hickey 13 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 3 0 -
Jalen Courtney 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Marks * 36 5-13 1-1 12-12 6 6 4 0 4 23 22 -
Jeff Elorriaga * 36 2-6 1-5 1-2 4 2 4 0 1 6 9 -
Igor Hadziomerovic * 34 2-4 0-1 1-4 6 5 1 0 4 5 9 -
Anthony Drmic * 34 12-18 6-10 4-8 3 0 1 1 2 34 19 -
Ryan Watkins * 29 5-11 0-0 2-2 17 0 2 0 1 12 19 -
Thomas Bropleh 10 1-4 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -
Kenny Buckner 10 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
Mikey Thompson 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Joe Hanstad 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darrious Hamilton 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter