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Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Margin 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.2% 31.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—

Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (58-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fabyon Harris * 33 7-12 2-3 3-3 4 2 3 0 2 19 14 -2.5
J-Mychal Reese * 29 1-5 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 6 2 -1 -5.5
Kourtney Roberson * 25 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 7 7 -0.4
Elston Turner Jr. * 25 1-7 1-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 3 +7.7
Ray Turner * 24 4-6 0-0 1-3 2 1 1 1 2 9 6 +7.9
Alex Caruso 24 2-4 2-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 8 5 +3.9
Andrew Young 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 2 8 -4.7
Jarod Jahns 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 2 6 -12.7
Jordan Green 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 0 -4 -16.1

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Hickey Jr. * 37 4-16 1-6 1-1 3 2 8 1 0 10 8 +7.7
Johnny O'Bryant III * 35 6-10 0-0 2-5 10 2 2 0 5 14 13 +1.4
Malik Morgan * 32 3-7 1-4 0-0 7 2 3 0 1 7 11 +8.3
Andre Stringer * 28 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 5 1 +1.8
Andrew Del Piero * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -6.2
Shavon Coleman 36 8-16 1-3 0-0 4 0 3 0 2 17 6 +11.8
Charles Carmouche 23 2-8 1-6 0-4 1 3 3 0 1 5 3 +1.2
Jalen Courtney 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.4

* = starter