Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | โ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (58-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabyon Harris * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -2.5 |
| J-Mychal Reese * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Kourtney Roberson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Elston Turner Jr. * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +7.7 |
| Ray Turner * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Andrew Young | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -4.7 |
| Jarod Jahns | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -12.7 |
| Jordan Green | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -4 | -16.1 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hickey Jr. * | 37 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Johnny O'Bryant III * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Malik Morgan * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Andre Stringer * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Andrew Del Piero * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Shavon Coleman | 36 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Charles Carmouche | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Jalen Courtney | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.4 |
* = starter