Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (73-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Pressey * | 39 | 9-21 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | -7.4 |
| Jabari Brown * | 39 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -8.9 |
| Laurence Bowers * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -11.6 |
| Negus Webster-Chan * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.2 |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Tony Criswell | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Earnest Ross | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Ryan Rosburg | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Stringer * | 39 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +11.3 |
| Johnny O'Bryant III * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +18.0 |
| Anthony Hickey Jr. * | 38 | 9-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | +16.8 |
| Charles Carmouche * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Andrew Del Piero * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Shavon Coleman | 37 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +10.7 |
| Malik Morgan | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Shane Hammink | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
* = starter