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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 โœ— (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—

Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Releford * 50 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 36 46 -
Trevor Lacey * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 11 15 -
Rodney Cooper * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 18 28 -
Levi Randolph * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Moussa Gueye * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 6 -
Nick Jacobs 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 10 12 -
Andrew Steele 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 7 -
Devonta Pollard 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Retin Obasohan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 3 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charles Carmouche * 54 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 2 0 1 20 35 -
Johnny O'Bryant * 51 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 1 4 24 34 -
Anthony Hickey * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 5 0 5 13 25 -
Malik Morgan * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 9 -
Andrew Del Piero * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Shavon Coleman 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 2 17 27 -
Andre Stringer 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 10 17 -
Corban Collins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jalen Courtney 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter