🐻⬇️🏀

LSU Tigers 70
@
Kentucky Wildcats 75
2013-01-26

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 ✓ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnny O'Bryant * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 4 21 31 -
Andre Stringer * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 13 13 -
Anthony Hickey * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 0 15 19 -
Charles Carmouche * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 3 0 1 7 20 -
Andrew Del Piero * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Shavon Coleman 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 8 11 -
Malik Morgan 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Shane Hammink 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jalen Courtney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nerlens Noel * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 6 4 10 23 -
Archie Goodwin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 15 19 -
Julius Mays * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 9 12 -
Alex Poythress * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 0 1 20 32 -
Ryan Harrow * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 11 11 -
Kyle Wiltjer 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
Jarrod Polson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Jon Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter