🐻⬇️🏀

Jacksonville Dolphins

Also known as: Jacksonville Dolphins
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

71.1
PPG
73.9
Opp
-2.8
Margin
44.8%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
33.0
RPG
11.2
APG
11.1
TO
76.2
Pace
65.6
AdjO
75.3
AdjD
#298
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 773 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 857 (#286) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 935 (#617) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -9.4 (#297) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +6.6 (#282) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.289 (#292) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.2 More → 0.250 (#259) NetEff -11.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.3 More → 0.195 (#293) AdjNet -12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.3 More → 0.193 (#293) AdjNet -12.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.294 (#298) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 75.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.481 (#333) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.573 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.541 (#297) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 29 More → 880 (#550) RD 157 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Miami Hurricanes L 69 - 86
2025-11-06 vs Trinity (FL) Tigers W 132 - 45
2025-11-11 @ High Point Panthers L 64 - 85
2025-11-15 @ VMI Keydets W 69 - 67
2025-11-18 @ George Mason Patriots L 57 - 79
2025-11-24 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 69 - 64
2025-11-25 vs Pacific Tigers L 53 - 68
2025-12-02 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 85 - 82
2025-12-14 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 75 - 112
2025-12-17 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 65 - 72
2025-12-22 @ Florida State Seminoles L 63 - 87
2026-01-01 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 57 - 76
2026-01-03 @ Austin Peay Governors L 68 - 71
2026-01-08 vs Queens University Royals L 51 - 77
2026-01-10 vs West Georgia Wolves W 75 - 43
2026-01-15 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 60 - 62
2026-01-22 vs Bellarmine Knights L 70 - 77
2026-01-24 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 81 - 76
2026-01-29 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 70 - 65
2026-01-31 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 49 - 68
2026-02-05 @ Queens University Royals L 84 - 93
2026-02-07 @ West Georgia Wolves L 73 - 87
2026-02-11 @ Stetson Hatters L 62 - 67
2026-02-14 vs North Florida Ospreys W 63 - 56
2026-02-18 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 84 - 86
2026-02-21 vs Austin Peay Governors L 61 - 65
2026-02-26 vs Stetson Hatters W 89 - 85
2026-02-28 @ North Florida Ospreys W 85 - 61
2026-03-04 @ Bellarmine Knights L 79 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hayden Wood Hayden Wood - 29 27.3 11.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 8.7 7.2 -82 -3.6 -9.1 43.5 33.8 71.1 -0.52 56.0 52.4
J. Jones J. Jones - 28 27.4 10.2 3.5 2.5 1.2 0.0 2.0 8.8 6.7 -5 -0.4 -68.2 45.3 34.2 62.1 -0.06 52.7 50.8
C. Lockett Jr. C. Lockett Jr. - 29 24.7 9.0 3.2 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.8 8.0 5.9 226 10.8 20.4 37.7 27.7 84.9 1.63 49.8 43.3
D. Rivers D. Rivers - 29 20.6 9.0 4.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.6 5.8 7.4 -46 -2.0 -8.6 55.4 0.0 64.4 -0.46 59.6 55.4
J. Thirdkill Jr. J. Thirdkill Jr. - 29 23.6 8.0 5.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 5.3 9.6 278 11.6 17.6 51.0 29.4 74.4 2.33 61.0 55.8
C. Arias C. Arias - 27 17.9 7.3 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.7 6.2 3.9 5 0.2 0.9 40.7 35.8 82.1 -0.4 55.2 52.4
Evan Sterck Evan Sterck - 29 24.7 6.3 2.0 2.9 1.1 0.1 1.4 5.9 5.0 -5 -0.2 -0.5 38.8 30.0 80.0 -0.45 49.9 46.8
Jaylen Jordon Jaylen Jordon - 19 11.3 3.6 2.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.5 3.9 18 1.3 5.8 60.4 0 71.4 -0.05 62.8 60.4
A. Udemadu A. Udemadu F 22 11.4 3.4 2.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.1 3.1 -29 -1.4 -10.1 59.6 0 75.0 -0.15 64.3 59.6
L. Jackson L. Jackson - 3 4.0 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.0 5 1.2 95.2 33.3 25.0 100.0 0.05 58.0 41.7
Charles Caporaso Charles Caporaso - 23 10.0 3.0 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.2 2.8 12 0.7 4.6 52.0 0.0 81.8 0.1 58.6 52.0
E. Borio E. Borio - 18 12.2 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.8 1.9 -109 -6.8 -26.9 33.3 25.0 54.5 -0.89 44.8 43.1
M. Harper Jr. M. Harper Jr. - 13 5.7 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 2.4 0.8 312 14.2 27.4 41.9 14.3 16.7 2.37 41.6 43.5
A. Brown A. Brown - 3 9.7 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 3.0 2.3 21 7.0 22.9 11.1 16.7 66.7 0.22 24.2 16.7
S. Wheeler S. Wheeler - 8 7.0 1.4 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 12 1.5 22.1 45.5 20.0 0.0 -0.13 46.3 50.0
Roman Loux Roman Loux - 3 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.7 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 30.1 50.0
T. Deng T. Deng - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1 1.0 33.3 0 0 0 0.07 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG