Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Bellarmine Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bellarmine Knights +3 (82-79). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Wheeler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hayden Wood * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Jones * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chris Lockett Jr. * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Rivers * | 15 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Arias | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Jordon | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Evan Sterck | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Caporaso | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Enrico Borio | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Doyle * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jack Karasinski * | 35 | 10-18 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Brian Waddell * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kenyon Goodin * | 34 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Sam Donald * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Myles Watkins | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jacob Wassler | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Donovan Hunter | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter