Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Wood | 31 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Thirdkill Jr. | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Arias | 25 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Rivers | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Lockett Jr. | 22 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Udemadu | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Sterck | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Caporaso | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. Copeland | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| M. Diop | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Macgregor | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Kuhl | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| F. Sheridan | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Sirmans III | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Leonard | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Doyle | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Ratowski | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter