Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood | 31 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Jaylen Jones | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -14.7 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Chris Arias | 25 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Donovan Rivers | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -10.0 |
| Chris Lockett | 22 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Allen Udemadu | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Evan Sterck | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Charles Caporaso | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +12.3 |
| Ethan Copeland | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Matar Diop | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Daniel Macgregor | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Collin Kuhl | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Finley Sheridan | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +11.9 |
| Calvin Sirmans III | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3.1 |
| J.R. Leonard | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Alex Doyle | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Janusz Ratowski | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.9 |
* = starter