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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Log Adjusted 69.2% 30.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -19 (49-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Barno 29 2-6 0-0 4-6 1 3 2 0 1 8 7 +14.1
J.R. Konieczny 25 4-12 0-3 1-4 8 1 2 1 0 9 9 +8.1
J. Ellerbee 24 6-9 3-4 0-2 5 1 2 0 2 15 12 +13.9
I. Malone 24 2-6 0-0 5-5 6 0 1 1 1 9 10 +10.0
M. Duax 24 1-4 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 +15.0
R. Stewart 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.4
T. Guillouette 16 4-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 2 11 13 +7.3
J. Reddick 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 +8.4
D. Williams 12 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -1.3
G. Washington III 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 4 +9.5

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Sterck 35 4-10 0-4 0-0 4 0 3 0 1 8 4 -16.1
H. Wood 30 4-11 0-5 3-5 6 1 1 2 0 11 10 -10.2
D. Rivers 28 2-6 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 7 4 -5 -16.3
C. Lockett Jr. 23 2-6 0-3 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -11.4
J. Jordon 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 4 7 -7.0
J. Jones 22 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 7 2 -8.5
A. Udemadu 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 -13.2
C. Arias 12 1-3 0-1 3-5 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -10.5
J. Thirdkill Jr. 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 +4.1

* = starter