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2026-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 โœ— (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Doyle 35 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 7 0 0 2 10 11 +15.6
Kenyon Goodin 35 7-10 6-8 4-5 3 0 1 0 1 24 17 +5.0
Brian Waddell 32 5-9 0-1 3-4 4 0 1 1 1 13 9 +4.3
Jack Karasinski 30 5-10 1-3 3-3 5 4 0 0 1 14 12 -0.7
Sam Donald 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 3 +5.7
Donovan Hunter 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -2.2
Jacob Wassler 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 0 6 +0.9
Michael Wilson Jr. 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -3.8
Darrius Bolden 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -9.0
Myles Watkins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 +0.5
Grant Whitaker 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.1

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Sterck 33 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 7 7 +0.2
Jason Thirdkill Jr. 31 6-7 0-1 5-5 9 2 0 0 1 17 20 +1.6
Hayden Wood 29 7-11 5-8 2-2 1 0 0 2 2 21 11 -1.2
Chris Lockett 27 0-7 0-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 2 1 +1.0
Allen Udemadu 19 3-4 0-0 6-6 3 0 0 0 0 12 11 -0.2
Donovan Rivers 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -2.8
Chris Arias 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -11.5
Jaylen Jones 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -2 -4.0
Jaylen Jordon 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -5.5
Charles Caporaso 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.9

* = starter