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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville Dolphins Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Austin Peay Governors +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Thirdkill Jr. 37 3-8 1-4 4-6 10 1 0 3 2 11 15 +0.5
E. Sterck 36 4-8 4-7 0-2 4 8 0 0 5 12 11 +0.9
J. Jones 34 6-15 1-4 3-6 4 3 4 0 2 16 10 -6.6
D. Rivers 31 5-7 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 0 2 14 14 -0.3
H. Wood 21 2-3 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 9 +13.8
C. Lockett Jr. 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 +3.1
C. Arias 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 0 0 -10.8
C. Caporaso 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 6 3 +0.8

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Collins 31 9-15 1-2 4-4 3 0 3 0 2 23 12 -0.7
T. McCubbin 31 2-8 2-6 0-0 7 0 3 1 0 6 9 +3.0
C. Parker 31 4-11 2-5 5-5 5 3 1 0 1 15 12 +6.4
R. Marshall 30 5-7 0-0 6-9 4 0 0 2 3 16 12 +2.6
A. Brookshire 25 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 9 7 -0.4
M. Enright 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -1.6
J. Robinson 16 1-6 0-1 0-2 2 2 3 0 0 2 3 -4.4
C. Morisch 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.8
H. Enmanuel 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -5.4
T. Wagner 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.3

* = starter