Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thirdkill Jr. | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | +0.5 |
| E. Sterck | 36 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | +0.9 |
| J. Jones | 34 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -6.6 |
| D. Rivers | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | -0.3 |
| H. Wood | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +13.8 |
| C. Lockett Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
| C. Arias | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -10.8 |
| C. Caporaso | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +0.8 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Collins | 31 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | -0.7 |
| T. McCubbin | 31 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +3.0 |
| C. Parker | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +6.4 |
| R. Marshall | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +2.6 |
| A. Brookshire | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -0.4 |
| M. Enright | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| J. Robinson | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.4 |
| C. Morisch | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| H. Enmanuel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| T. Wagner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
* = starter