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Illinois State

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History

2023 Team Stats (20 games)

66.8
PPG
69.4
Opp
-2.6
Margin
44.3%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
79.9%
FT%
31.2
RPG
10.9
APG
14.5
TO
73.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1142 (#161) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1171 (#161) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +24.9 (#156) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.381 (#85) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.8 More → 0.396 (#235) NetEff -3.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -29.0 More → 0.033 (#117) AdjNet -29.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.2 More → 0.034 (#117) AdjNet -29.2

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-12 @ Northwestern State Demons W 69 - 67
2022-11-22 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 66 - 78
2022-12-01 @ Murray State Racers L 67 - 70
2022-12-19 vs Chicago State Cougars W 66 - 52
2023-01-04 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 67 - 76
2023-01-07 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 69 - 61
2023-01-11 vs Missouri State Bears W 76 - 66
2023-01-14 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 57 - 69
2023-01-18 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 63 - 65
2023-01-21 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 51 - 71
2023-01-25 @ Bradley Braves L 75 - 79
2023-01-29 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 72 - 66
2023-02-01 vs UIC Flames W 68 - 62
2023-02-04 @ Belmont Bruins L 75 - 90
2023-02-08 vs Bradley Braves L 61 - 79
2023-02-26 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 72 - 53
2023-03-02 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 62 - 75

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Knight S. Knight - 17 33.2 14.6 5.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 2.8 8.2 11.5 - - - 51.4 48.0 75.0 - 70.8 60.0
D. Burford D. Burford G 16 29.8 13.6 3.0 2.4 1.1 0.3 2.4 9.7 8.3 - - - 51.6 38.5 86.0 - 62.7 56.5
K. Lewis K. Lewis - 17 31.7 10.2 7.4 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.7 7.2 12.5 45 2.6 3.8 43.9 28.0 83.3 1.58 58.9 46.7
Malachi Poindexter Malachi Poindexter G 17 33.2 10.2 2.5 2.6 1.1 0.1 2.2 8.1 6.2 - - - 38.0 37.1 91.2 - 57.3 47.4
L. Kasubke L. Kasubke - 17 27.9 6.8 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.5 5.0 5.4 - - - 40.0 34.5 85.2 - 59.4 51.8
L. McChesney L. McChesney - 17 19.2 5.6 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.5 4.1 4.9 - - - 47.1 34.4 66.7 - 63.8 55.0
C. Sandage C. Sandage - 10 15.2 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.9 3.7 0.9 - - - 24.3 26.7 75.0 - 37.4 35.1
J. Petrakis J. Petrakis - 8 9.1 2.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.4 - - - 35.0 33.3 50.0 - 47.9 47.5
H. Sissoko H. Sissoko - 14 10.5 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.9 2.4 - - - 55.6 0.0 100.0 - 59.9 55.6
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 8 6.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.1 34 3.8 9.0 41.7 33.3 75.0 1.19 58.1 54.2
R. Schmitt R. Schmitt - 6 4.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.8 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
A. Kotov A. Kotov - 14 4.7 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 1.1 - - - 33.3 0.0 0.0 - 31.1 33.3
M. Miller M. Miller - 4 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 33 2.8 4.9 0 0 50.0 0.9 56.8 0
N. Stadelman N. Stadelman - 4 4.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
H. Fleming Jr. H. Fleming Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 73 6.1 7.2 - - - 1.93 - -
Alston Andrews Alston Andrews F 2 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -36 -4.5 -10.2 0.0 0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG