Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| S. Knight * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 12 | - |
| D. Burford * | 33 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| H. Sissoko * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 31 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. McChesney | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Campbell * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Anderson * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| B. Born * | 32 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| M. Duax * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Betz * | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Henry | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. Wolf | 21 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Daniel | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Peksari | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter