Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burford * | 37 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| L. Kasubke * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Sissoko * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Knight | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| L. McChesney | 24 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Kotov | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Stadelman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Petrakis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431943 * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Jones * | 30 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | - |
| J. Newton * | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Rupert * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. D'Amico | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Banks | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J.D. Muila | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| F. Wonders | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Ebube | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter