Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -2.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Neese * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Larry * | 32 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| C. Henry * | 30 | 9-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| R. Avila * | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Z. Hobbs * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Kent | 23 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. McKnight | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Gibson | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Stephens | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Poindexter * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Burford * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. McChesney * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Kasubke * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Knight | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Sandage | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Kotov | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Andrews | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter