Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Knight * | 43 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| L. Kasubke * | 42 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| L. McChesney * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Burford * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Lewis | 37 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Sandage | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Kotov | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4897449 * | 42 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| C. Hickman * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Mast * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Deen * | 33 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Z. Montgomery | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Hannah | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| V. Tahvanainen | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter