Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Poindexter * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Kasubke * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Burford * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Sissoko * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Knight | 35 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Petrakis | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. McChesney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Stadelman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Born * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Campbell * | 35 | 7-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| M. Duax * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Anderson * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Betz * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Wolf | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Henry | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Peksari | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Daniel | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter