Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -18 (61-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hickman * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Mast * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Z. Montgomery * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Player #4897449 * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| D. Deen * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| V. Tahvanainen | 27 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| J. Henry | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Hannah | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Knight * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| L. Kasubke * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. McChesney * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Burford | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Kotov | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Petrakis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter