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2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 72.7% 27.3% -5.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 87.0% 13.0% -
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.7% 8.3% -
Log Adjusted 91.7% 8.3% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Poindexter * 34 5-8 2-5 6-6 5 1 1 0 3 18 14 -
D. Burford * 32 5-12 1-4 1-1 6 6 2 0 1 12 13 -
K. Lewis * 29 2-8 0-1 4-4 7 2 3 0 2 8 10 -
L. McChesney * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 5 6 3 -
L. Kasubke * 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Knight 30 5-8 1-2 4-5 3 0 1 0 2 15 9 -
H. Sissoko 16 3-4 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
C. Sandage 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 3 3 -
J. Petrakis 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Kotov 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Schmitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman II * 40 5-11 2-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 16 7 -
K. Strawbridge Jr. * 39 5-13 1-3 5-11 3 1 3 0 4 16 6 -
G. Bobe * 34 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
A. Smith Jr. * 30 2-7 2-6 3-4 0 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
Y. Toumi * 24 1-8 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
P. Phillips 29 1-2 0-0 2-3 7 2 1 0 1 4 11 -
C. Moncrief 4 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter