🐻⬇️🏀

East Carolina Pirates

Also known as: East Carolina Pirates
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

70.2
PPG
66.1
Opp
+4.1
Margin
38.4%
FG%
29.9%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
14.1
APG
14.9
TO
88.2
Pace
71.0
AdjO
66.2
AdjD
#112
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1124 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1037 (#146) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +4.0 (#121) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +17.0 (#107) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.731 (#98) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.8 More → 0.759 (#95) NetEff +8.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.2 More → 0.697 (#115) AdjNet +7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.3 More → 0.699 (#115) AdjNet +7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.608 (#112) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.590 (#137) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.811 (#132) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.781 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 29 More → 1109 (#133) RD 131 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Liberty Flames L 53 - 69
2025-11-11 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 91 - 62
2025-11-16 @ High Point Panthers L 68 - 84
2025-11-21 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 67 - 73
2025-11-26 vs UCF Knights L 61 - 75
2025-11-27 @ Illinois State Redbirds W 73 - 66
2025-11-28 vs Hofstra Pride W 72 - 53
2025-12-03 vs James Madison Dukes L 66 - 83
2025-12-07 vs Elon Phoenix W 64 - 53
2025-12-14 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 75 - 61
2025-12-17 vs Wofford Terriers W 80 - 59
2025-12-30 vs UAB Blazers W 88 - 87
2026-01-03 vs Memphis Tigers W 74 - 65
2026-01-06 @ North Texas Mean Green L 63 - 87
2026-01-10 @ Wichita State Shockers W 83 - 56
2026-01-17 vs Temple Owls W 81 - 65
2026-01-20 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 65 - 58
2026-01-24 @ UAB Blazers W 87 - 61
2026-01-27 vs Wichita State Shockers L 54 - 63
2026-02-01 @ Charlotte 49ers W 67 - 61
2026-02-04 vs South Florida Bulls W 64 - 62
2026-02-10 @ Tulane Green Wave W 65 - 61
2026-02-14 @ Temple Owls W 79 - 73
2026-02-17 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 74 - 61
2026-02-21 vs Rice Owls L 58 - 60
2026-02-25 @ Memphis Tigers L 80 - 88
2026-02-28 vs Charlotte 49ers W 64 - 57
2026-03-07 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 76 - 61
2026-03-13 vs UTSA Roadrunners L 44 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Fauntleroy K. Fauntleroy G 29 32.7 13.5 3.3 4.9 2.7 0.8 2.8 13.5 8.9 99 4.1 5.2 38.5 29.1 72.9 -0.02 46.4 43.5
A. Hutton A. Hutton F 28 28.5 10.9 6.8 1.5 1.2 0.6 2.1 9.3 9.6 103 4.5 6.7 41.2 33.3 72.4 1.43 49.8 44.0
T. Barner T. Barner G 27 24.6 10.7 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.0 9.0 4.6 41 1.8 2.9 39.3 30.6 85.7 1.36 52.4 46.1
K. Rembert K. Rembert F 28 25.5 10.4 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.4 2.1 9.1 6.5 93 3.9 5.8 42.7 35.6 78.9 1.25 50.7 45.9
J. Hearp J. Hearp G 29 24.1 9.3 3.2 1.1 1.4 0.4 1.6 7.5 6.4 72 2.9 4.8 40.4 33.7 73.3 0.96 53.0 47.7
S. Brooks S. Brooks G 28 28.2 8.5 4.1 2.2 1.5 0.5 1.5 7.3 8.0 89 3.9 5.6 34.3 28.2 81.1 3.75 48.6 40.2
B. Smith B. Smith G 26 11.8 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.5 2.3 2.8 134 5.8 22.8 43.3 16.7 70.4 2.31 50.1 44.2
Z. Zellous Z. Zellous F 29 12.1 2.8 2.9 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 3.2 3.1 -74 -3.1 -8.7 33.7 14.3 48.6 -4.67 37.4 34.2
O. Hilliard O. Hilliard G 28 10.9 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.4 2.8 0.0 -22 -1.0 -2.8 22.8 5.3 61.1 -1.87 27.6 23.4
A. Shaw A. Shaw F 8 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 49 2.6 9.8 66.7 100.0 66.7 0.53 75.2 75.0
M. Dibua M. Dibua F 28 9.8 1.4 3.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.8 1 0.0 0.2 28.6 25.0 40.9 -0.52 32.4 29.6
C. Iloanya C. Iloanya F 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -1.3 -30.2 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
A. Smith A. Smith G 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 60 4.6 9.5 0 0 0 4.23 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG