Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Green | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | -6.8 |
| J. McDaniel | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | -10.5 |
| J. Freeman | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | +0.6 |
| D. Orianegbena | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | +5.8 |
| D. Maxey | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -18.0 |
| A. Marquez | 25 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | +10.0 |
| C. Odom | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.7 |
| K. McMillan | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -1.7 |
| J. Koerdt | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| T. Council | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fauntleroy | 34 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +6.6 |
| K. Rembert | 29 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +2.0 |
| A. Hutton | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| S. Brooks | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | +11.5 |
| J. Hearp | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -0.9 |
| T. Barner | 20 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +12.3 |
| B. Smith | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +13.7 |
| O. Hilliard | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.0 |
| Z. Zellous | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| M. Dibua | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.2 |
* = starter