Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Richmond | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | -1.0 |
| J. Hunter | 34 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -8.4 |
| P. Gaines | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | +3.9 |
| C. Allen | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +6.1 |
| T. Smith | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -2.9 |
| C. Harris | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| J. Spiers | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| K. Alexander | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.2 |
| B. Alexander | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.8 |
| B. Charlo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| A. Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| B. Gilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fauntleroy | 38 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | +8.7 |
| K. Rembert | 33 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +7.3 |
| S. Brooks | 31 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +14.1 |
| T. Barner | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | +3.3 |
| J. Hearp | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Z. Zellous | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -13.4 |
| A. Hutton | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +16.2 |
| M. Dibua | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4.2 |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| O. Hilliard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
* = starter