Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | High Point Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | β (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | β |
Actual: High Point Panthers +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hutton | 35 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 20 | -7.1 |
| K. Fauntleroy | 34 | 6-20 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 5 | -5.8 |
| T. Barner | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +1.4 |
| S. Brooks | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -12.8 |
| B. Smith | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.4 |
| J. Hearp | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -2.2 |
| K. Rembert | 17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -17.7 |
| O. Hilliard | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -10.7 |
| Z. Zellous | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -7.6 |
| M. Dibua | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
High Point Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Collins | 38 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | +27.3 |
| N. Zavala | 37 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +13.4 |
| A. HΓ€ger | 31 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Spencer | 29 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +11.9 |
| B. Snotherly | 25 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.0 |
| D. Nesland | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +0.4 |
| P. Gerdes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| C. Paxixe | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -6.3 |
| L. Fleming | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +16.0 |
* = starter