Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fox | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Q. Fulmore | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -12.7 |
| M. Pass | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.5 |
| L. Corbett | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +3.2 |
| T. Walker | 21 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | +4.9 |
| R. Willard | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -10.0 |
| T. Watkins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3.9 |
| L. Anderson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +0.0 |
| K. Doty | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -6.2 |
| S. Khalil | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -0.5 |
| A. Shaw | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Morrow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fauntleroy | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | +5.4 |
| T. Barner | 27 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +8.3 |
| S. Brooks | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +11.4 |
| A. Hutton | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +7.5 |
| K. Rembert | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | -2.7 |
| B. Smith | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +8.6 |
| O. Hilliard | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -4 | -12.8 |
| Z. Zellous | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -2.1 |
| J. Hearp | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +9.2 |
| M. Dibua | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | -5.5 |
| A. Shaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter