Duke Blue Devils
2009 Team Stats (25 games)
71.5
PPG
56.0
Opp
+15.5
Margin
41.0%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
39.6
RPG
13.8
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.0
Adj PPG
48.9
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1546 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1404 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1152 (#24) | HCA +85 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.7 (#8) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.1 (#11) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.930 (#7) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.991 (#7) | AdjNet +40.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.991 (#7) | AdjNet +40.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.900 (#6) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 48.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.816 (#9) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 52.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.934 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.925 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1375 (#7) | RD 113 | GP 33 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Black
|
NA | 25 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 8.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 10.6 | 13.8 | - | - | - | - | 48.9 | 0.0 | 73.8 | - | 54.8 | 48.9 |
J. Thomas
|
G | 21 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 5.6 | - | - | - | - | 38.1 | 30.3 | 72.9 | - | 46.2 | 42.7 |
T. Canby
|
- | 23 | 0.0 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 10.3 | 6.3 | - | - | - | - | 31.8 | 29.3 | 78.4 | - | 43.6 | 40.5 |
K. Christmas-Kelly
|
F | 2 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 33.3 | 42.9 | - | 72.2 | 81.2 |
J. Cheek
|
F | 13 | 0.0 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 27.3 | 82.4 | - | 42.7 | 39.3 |
C. Gay
|
NA | 22 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 28.6 | 68.8 | - | 49.0 | 46.2 |
B. Mitchell
|
F | 9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 6.9 | - | - | - | - | 47.9 | 25.0 | 60.0 | - | 50.6 | 49.0 |
K. Jackson
|
G | 10 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0.0 | 53.3 | - | 41.7 | 38.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG