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2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mitchell 0 4-6 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
J. Thomas 0 6-19 0-2 4-4 2 5 1 0 0 16 5 -
C. Gay 0 9-13 0-0 1-2 10 1 2 2 1 19 20 -
A. Waner 0 4-9 2-6 3-4 2 3 2 2 1 13 12 -
C. Black 0 3-11 0-0 5-6 8 1 1 1 2 11 9 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Strickland 0 4-9 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 11 3 -
M. Coleman 0 10-18 2-5 6-6 15 6 1 0 4 28 28 -
K. Toliver 0 7-19 2-6 8-9 4 1 0 1 6 24 5 -
D. Liles 0 1-7 0-0 4-4 12 3 2 0 2 6 14 -
L. Kizer 0 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 6 5 -

* = starter