Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mitchell | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Strickland | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 0 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 28 | - |
| K. Toliver | 0 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 5 | - |
| D. Liles | 0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| L. Kizer | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter