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2009-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (24.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -14 (49-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson 0 2-8 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 2 7 4 -1 -
C. Washington 0 3-10 1-4 0-0 4 2 2 1 1 7 5 -
A. DeHaan 0 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 4 1 6 5 -
M. Johnson 0 6-15 3-10 2-4 3 4 2 0 1 17 10 -
L. Johnson 0 1-5 0-2 5-6 12 2 2 1 1 7 18 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mitchell 0 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 0 -1 -
J. Thomas 0 4-11 1-5 5-6 2 4 1 0 4 14 6 -
C. Black 0 2-7 0-1 0-2 8 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
C. Gay 0 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 2 5 -
A. Waner 0 3-11 2-9 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 8 2 -

* = starter