Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cheek | 0 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 4-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breland | 0 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 29 | - |
| I. Mcfarland | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Mccants | 0 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
* = starter