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2009-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Cheek 0 4-13 1-4 - 4 1 2 9 -1
J. Thomas 0 4-11 1-3 1-1 4 2 3 2 10 6
C. Black 0 4-15 - 5-6 7 2 4 3 4 13 10
C. Gay 0 2-7 - - 3 2 3 2 4 3
Player #5335 0 4-14 4-12 - 1 3 4 1 5 12 2

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Breland 0 5-14 -1 4-4 23 1 6 5 6 14 29
I. Mcfarland 0 1-2 - - 3 2 1 2 4
R. Mccants 0 9-13 1-2 3-7 9 2 1 5 22 16
I. Lucas 0 2-11 -3 3-4 3 5 1 3 7 2
C. DeGraffenreid 0 4-8 1-2 6-7 5 5 15 7

* = starter