Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | +1.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (75-60). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joy Cheek | 0 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Chante Black | 0 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Carrem Gay | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 4-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Breland | 0 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Iman Mcfarland | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rashanda Mccants | 0 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Italee Lucas | 0 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Cetera DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
* = starter