Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (76-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hartig | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Littles | 0 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | -5 | - |
| B. Millner | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mitchell | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
* = starter