Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cheek | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 10-18 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hartig | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Littles | 0 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 12-13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 13 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 7-21 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | - |
| B. Millner | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter