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2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
ELO 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 82.0% 18.0% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Cheek 0 1-6 - 2-2 4 1 2 4 1
J. Thomas 0 10-18 -4 2-4 4 3 3 3 22 11
C. Black 0 6-9 - 1-4 7 1 1 3 1 13 15
C. Gay 0 3-6 -1 2-3 4 1 1 2 8 6
Player #5335 0 3-10 -5 4-4 4 4 2 1 10 9

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Hartig 0 1-2 - -1 4 3 2 1
L. Littles 0 7-14 3-6 12-13 2 1 1 6 29 13
A. Mohammed 0 3-8 - 1-3 9 2 1 1 7 10
M. Wright 0 7-21 1-6 6-6 4 4 1 4 21 5
Player #5400 0 -3 - - 3 2 1 2 1

* = starter