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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% -
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -18 (57-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mitchell 0 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
J. Thomas 0 6-9 2-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 14 10 -
C. Black 0 3-11 0-0 5-5 8 1 0 3 2 11 10 -
C. Gay 0 6-6 0-0 1-1 9 2 1 0 3 13 16 -
A. Waner 0 3-6 3-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 9 6 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Monroe 0 3-7 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 8 5 -
A. Harvin 0 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
C. Ward 0 2-8 1-4 0-0 6 8 2 0 7 5 6 -
T. Davis-Cain 0 4-18 4-11 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 14 0 -
M. Freshour 0 4-8 2-4 2-3 4 4 2 0 0 12 14 -

* = starter