Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breland | 0 | 3-10 | - | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| I. Mcfarland | 0 | 1-3 | - | - | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| R. Mccants | 0 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 9 | |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 13 | |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 2-8 | -1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mitchell | 0 | 6-10 | - | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 8-17 | -3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 6 | |
| C. Black | 0 | 2-9 | - | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | |
| C. Gay | 0 | 6-14 | - | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 18 |
| Player #5335 | 0 | 2-16 | 2-9 | - | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -2 |
* = starter