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Colorado State

Also known as: Colorado State Rams, Colorado State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (9 games)

71.3
PPG
72.4
Opp
-1.1
Margin
42.7%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
70.1%
FT%
40.2
RPG
11.4
APG
12.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.5
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#27
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1268 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1264 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1077 (#72) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +13.3 (#27) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +9.4 (#56) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.787 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.2 More โ†’ 0.912 (#33) AdjNet +20.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.4 More โ†’ 0.913 (#33) AdjNet +20.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.754 (#27) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.629 (#62) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.786 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.765 (#44) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1246 (#30) RD 107 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Montana Grizzlies W 72 - 65
2012-11-15 vs Chadron State Eagles W 93 - 50
2012-11-21 @ Denver Pioneers W 60 - 53
2012-11-24 @ Washington Huskies W 73 - 55
2012-11-26 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 85 - 69
2012-12-01 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 79 - 72
2012-12-05 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 61 - 70
2012-12-08 @ UIC Flames L 55 - 64
2012-12-17 vs North Florida Ospreys W 83 - 55
2012-12-19 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 78 - 58
2012-12-22 vs Portland Pilots W 70 - 53
2012-12-23 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 88 - 52
2012-12-29 vs Adams State Grizzlies W 80 - 55
2013-01-02 vs UTEP Miners W 62 - 58
2013-01-05 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 85 - 64
2013-01-12 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 72 - 79
2013-01-16 vs Air Force Falcons W 79 - 40
2013-01-19 vs UNLV Rebels W 66 - 61
2013-01-23 @ New Mexico Lobos L 61 - 66
2013-01-26 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 74 - 63
2013-01-30 vs Boise State Broncos W 77 - 57
2013-02-02 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 65 - 46
2013-02-06 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 73 - 69
2013-02-13 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 66 - 60
2013-02-16 @ Air Force Falcons W 89 - 86
2013-02-20 @ UNLV Rebels L 59 - 61
2013-02-23 vs New Mexico Lobos L 82 - 91
2013-02-27 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 74 - 67
2013-03-02 @ Boise State Broncos L 65 - 78
2013-03-06 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 78 - 56
2013-03-09 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 77 - 66
2013-03-13 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 67 - 61
2013-03-15 vs UNLV Rebels L 65 - 75
2013-03-21 vs Missouri Tigers W 84 - 72
2013-03-23 @ Louisville Cardinals L 56 - 82

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Colton Iverson Colton Iverson F-C 35 29.5 14.2 9.8 1.3 0.6 0.7 2.0 4.2 20.4 180 26 6.9 9.9 56.5 0 55.9 3.24 132.2 56.5
Dorian Green Dorian Green G 34 32.8 13.0 2.6 3.6 0.8 0.1 1.8 4.5 13.9 224 25 9.0 11.2 37.5 41.1 75.9 4.83 124.5 47.4
Wes Eikmeier Wes Eikmeier G 35 31.0 12.6 1.7 2.1 0.5 0.1 1.7 5.1 10.3 152 26 5.8 8.0 41.2 39.1 88.1 -0.81 112.5 48.9
Greg Smith Greg Smith F 35 25.1 11.2 5.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 1.8 4.0 12.3 128 26 4.9 8.3 48.2 31.8 75.7 -0.3 113.2 50.7
Pierce Hornung Pierce Hornung F 33 31.1 8.4 8.9 2.2 1.2 0.5 1.3 2.3 17.6 190 24 7.9 10.5 51.9 50.0 63.2 4.99 148.3 55.8
Daniel Bejarano Daniel Bejarano G 35 22.1 6.3 5.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.9 2.9 9.5 90 26 3.5 6.7 40.8 31.4 100.0 -0.16 104.1 48.5
Jon Octeus Jon Octeus G 35 19.6 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 1.1 1.8 6.2 22 26 0.8 1.8 40.6 7.7 76.7 -3.69 100.1 41.4
Gerson Santo Gerson Santo F 31 7.4 2.2 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 5 23 0.2 1.3 53.6 0 87.5 -0.22 97.0 53.6
Jordan Mason Jordan Mason - 12 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.3 - - - - 31.2 28.6 66.7 - 60.6 37.5
Joe De Ciman Joe De Ciman G 23 5.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 1.0 -17 14 -1.2 -11.3 25.0 20.0 33.3 -2.81 123.4 31.2
Josh Morgan Josh Morgan G 8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 - - - - 100.0 0 0 0.12 150.0 100.0
Stephon Wynn Stephon Wynn - 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG