Colorado State
2013 Team Stats (9 games)
71.3
PPG
72.4
Opp
-1.1
Margin
42.7%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
70.1%
FT%
40.2
RPG
11.4
APG
12.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.5
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#27
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1268 (#45) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1264 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1077 (#72) | HCA +102 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +13.3 (#27) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +9.4 (#56) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.787 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.912 (#33) | AdjNet +20.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.913 (#33) | AdjNet +20.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.754 (#27) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.629 (#62) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.786 (#38) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.765 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1246 (#30) | RD 107 | GP 33 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colton Iverson
|
F-C | 35 | 29.5 | 14.2 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 20.4 | 180 | 26 | 6.9 | 9.9 | 56.5 | 0 | 55.9 | 3.24 | 132.2 | 56.5 |
Dorian Green
|
G | 34 | 32.8 | 13.0 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 13.9 | 224 | 25 | 9.0 | 11.2 | 37.5 | 41.1 | 75.9 | 4.83 | 124.5 | 47.4 |
Wes Eikmeier
|
G | 35 | 31.0 | 12.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 10.3 | 152 | 26 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 41.2 | 39.1 | 88.1 | -0.81 | 112.5 | 48.9 |
Greg Smith
|
F | 35 | 25.1 | 11.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 12.3 | 128 | 26 | 4.9 | 8.3 | 48.2 | 31.8 | 75.7 | -0.3 | 113.2 | 50.7 |
Pierce Hornung
|
F | 33 | 31.1 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 17.6 | 190 | 24 | 7.9 | 10.5 | 51.9 | 50.0 | 63.2 | 4.99 | 148.3 | 55.8 |
Daniel Bejarano
|
G | 35 | 22.1 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 90 | 26 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 40.8 | 31.4 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 104.1 | 48.5 |
Jon Octeus
|
G | 35 | 19.6 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 22 | 26 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 40.6 | 7.7 | 76.7 | -3.69 | 100.1 | 41.4 |
Gerson Santo
|
F | 31 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 5 | 23 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 53.6 | 0 | 87.5 | -0.22 | 97.0 | 53.6 |
Jordan Mason
|
- | 12 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 31.2 | 28.6 | 66.7 | - | 60.6 | 37.5 |
Joe De Ciman
|
G | 23 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -17 | 14 | -1.2 | -11.3 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -2.81 | 123.4 | 31.2 |
Josh Morgan
|
G | 8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 150.0 | 100.0 |
Stephon Wynn
|
- | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG