Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| X. Thames | 21 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| W. Shepard | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 31 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter