Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 7 | - |
| N. Cox * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Mockevicius * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| R. Sawvell * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Balentine | 32 | 10-15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| L. Jones | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Moore | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Jahr | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 38 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| W. Eikmeier * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Iverson * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| G. Smith * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| D. Bejarano * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Octeus | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| G. Santo | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. De Ciman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter