Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Hornung * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| C. Iverson * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Green * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Eikmeier * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| G. Smith * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| D. Bejarano | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Octeus | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Reinhardt * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| K. Birch * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Goodman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Moser | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Cook | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter