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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 54.8% 45.2% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. De Ciman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Eikmeier * 42 8-21 3-7 3-3 3 0 2 0 3 22 3 -
P. Hornung * 40 3-6 1-2 0-0 14 4 0 1 0 7 20 -
D. Green * 36 1-9 0-3 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
C. Iverson * 35 5-11 0-0 8-12 11 2 1 2 1 18 22 -
G. Smith * 21 3-10 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
D. Bejarano 32 6-14 1-6 0-0 11 1 1 0 2 13 10 -
J. Octeus 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
G. Santo 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Franklin * 43 6-19 5-12 6-8 7 2 1 1 4 23 11 -
J.J. O'Brien * 38 4-6 0-0 1-1 10 3 1 1 0 9 18 -
C. Tapley * 32 7-14 3-7 2-2 5 3 2 0 3 19 12 -
X. Thames * 31 3-11 3-5 5-6 1 2 0 0 0 14 6 -
D. Stephens * 29 0-0 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
S. Spencer 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
J. Rahon 16 3-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
W. Shepard 15 1-5 1-2 1-4 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter