Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 29 | - |
| M. Story * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Coleman * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| C. Huff * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Burris | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Fall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Elliott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Fuetsch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Hornung * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 38 | - |
| C. Iverson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| G. Smith * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| W. Eikmeier * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| D. Green * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Bejarano | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Octeus | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Santo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. De Ciman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter