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Cincinnati

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cincinnati Bearcats, Cincinnati
Program History
Coach: Mick Cronin

2012 Team Stats (14 games)

64.6
PPG
63.8
Opp
+0.9
Margin
40.3%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
67.6%
FT%
35.6
RPG
12.1
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
58.1
Adj Opp PPG
#33
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1430 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1260 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1158 (#13) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +11.9 (#33) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +13.3 (#21) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.774 (#48) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.2 More → 0.902 (#31) AdjNet +19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.4 More → 0.904 (#31) AdjNet +19.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 58.1 More → 0.733 (#33) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 58.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.684 (#29) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 59.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.833 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.827 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 36 More → 1323 (#11) RD 93 | GP 36

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-13 vs Alabama State Hornets W 65 - 40
2011-11-15 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 73 - 59
2011-11-19 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 54 - 56
2011-11-21 vs Northwestern State Demons W 71 - 43
2011-11-25 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 69 - 73
2011-11-29 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 56 - 47
2011-12-02 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 57 - 51
2011-12-10 @ Xavier Musketeers L 53 - 76
2011-12-14 @ Wright State Raiders W 78 - 58
2011-12-17 vs Radford Highlanders W 101 - 70
2011-12-21 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 101 - 53
2011-12-23 vs Chicago State Cougars W 95 - 60
2011-12-29 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 56 - 55
2012-01-01 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 66 - 63
2012-01-04 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 71 - 55
2012-01-07 vs St. John's Red Storm L 55 - 57
2012-01-09 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 68 - 64
2012-01-14 vs Villanova Wildcats W 82 - 78
2012-01-18 @ UConn Huskies W 70 - 67
2012-01-23 vs Syracuse Orange L 53 - 60
2012-01-28 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 54 - 61
2012-02-04 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 74 - 66
2012-02-08 @ St. John's Red Storm W 76 - 54
2012-02-11 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 78 - 95
2012-02-15 vs Providence Friars W 81 - 66
2012-02-18 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 62 - 57
2012-02-23 vs Louisville Cardinals W 60 - 56
2012-02-26 @ South Florida Bulls L 45 - 46
2012-02-29 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 72 - 61
2012-03-03 @ Villanova Wildcats W 72 - 68
2012-03-08 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 72 - 70
2012-03-09 @ Syracuse Orange W 71 - 68
2012-03-10 vs Louisville Cardinals L 44 - 50
2012-03-16 vs Texas Longhorns W 65 - 59
2012-03-18 @ Florida State Seminoles W 62 - 56
2012-03-22 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 66 - 81

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sean Kilpatrick Sean Kilpatrick G 36 34.5 14.3 4.6 2.1 1.4 0.3 1.5 5.9 15.3 125 26 4.8 6.2 40.8 35.9 76.6 3.57 110.4 50.7
Dion Dixon Dion Dixon G 36 33.9 13.0 3.4 1.9 1.6 0.5 1.8 6.8 11.8 90 26 3.5 4.5 34.3 21.6 73.1 1.54 84.0 38.6
Yancy Gates Yancy Gates F 30 31.9 12.3 8.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 6.4 16.0 15 23 0.7 0.9 45.8 50.0 59.7 -1.65 83.1 46.4
Cashmere Wright Cashmere Wright C 36 31.0 10.7 3.7 4.6 2.0 0.0 2.2 5.4 13.3 134 26 5.2 7.2 37.8 33.7 69.7 4.98 91.7 45.7
Jaquon Parker Jaquon Parker C 29 26.6 9.4 5.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 4.7 11.2 27 20 1.4 2.3 41.2 34.1 61.5 -0.6 88.8 46.7
Justin Jackson Justin Jackson G 36 21.0 5.1 4.2 1.0 0.9 1.7 1.5 2.1 9.3 94 25 3.8 7.1 48.6 0.0 62.1 -0.45 104.9 48.6
Jeremiah Davis Jeremiah Davis G 26 7.8 2.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.0 2.8 1 17 0.1 0.3 29.6 23.1 50.0 -1.67 114.7 35.2
Ge'Lawn Guyn Ge'Lawn Guyn G 32 10.1 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.8 -28 21 -1.3 -6.4 27.6 14.3 50.0 -2.2 120.5 31.0
Octavius Ellis Octavius Ellis F 4 6.5 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 2.8 - - - - 66.7 0 100.0 -1.72 90.2 66.7
Jermaine Sanders Jermaine Sanders F 28 8.5 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 2.6 7 20 0.3 2.2 41.7 0.0 50.0 -1.06 186.3 41.7
C. Mbodj C. Mbodj C 27 9.7 1.6 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.6 3.7 3 20 0.1 0.6 29.4 0 42.9 -0.76 104.6 29.4
Alex Eppensteiner Alex Eppensteiner C 7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.1 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.79 0 0
Kelvin Gaines Kelvin Gaines F 16 9.1 0.9 2.4 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 4.4 -22 12 -1.8 -10.7 0.0 0 0 -5.31 175.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG